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Atletico Astorga vs Briviesca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Mas C.
70' Event
Alvarez D.
73' Event
Gordo G.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Atletico Astorga and Briviesca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
49%
Briviesca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Briviesca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Astorga come out ahead of Briviesca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Astorga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 68%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Briviesca
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.48 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Briviesca
3:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Atletico Astorga
1:1
Mar 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Briviesca
4:0
Nov 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Atletico Astorga
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Mas C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Briviesca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 59 / 100
Briviesca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Briviesca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Briviesca conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Briviesca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
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Briviesca

(Away)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)