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Atletico Astorga vs Cuellar Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Astorga in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
21%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Astorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga have won more games recently than Cuellar Balompie.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Astorga taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 19%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.39 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Cuellar Balompie
3:1
Oct 20, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Atletico Astorga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuellar Balompie has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Cuellar Balompie's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)