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Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
39' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
46%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga have won more games recently than Leonesa.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Astorga taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Leonesa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa
1:0
Sep 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa
2:2
Aug 7, 2019 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa
1:4
Aug 9, 2017 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Leonesa
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 40 / 100
Leonesa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Astorga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Leonesa
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
10 Oct
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
Ourense CF
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
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Leonesa

(Away)
12 Oct
Leonesa
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
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