Sport Picks
Atletico Astorga vs Racing Lermeno
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Atletico Astorga in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Astorga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Astorga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Astorga have won more games recently than Racing Lermeno.
- Win probability leans Atletico Astorga's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 18%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Astorga | Racing Lermeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Atletico Astorga
0:2
Oct 26, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Racing Lermeno
3:0
Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Racing Lermeno
5:1
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Atletico Astorga
1:0
Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Atletico Astorga
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Astorga 85 / 100
Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Astorga Racing Lermeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Racing Lermeno conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Atletico Astorga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Racing Lermeno lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Astorga VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Astorga
(Home) 26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1 Salamanca CF UDS
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1 Leonesa
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Racing Lermeno
(Away) 11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2 CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0 Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1 Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2 Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1 Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0 Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1 Racing Lermeno
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1 Racing Lermeno
12 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Racing Lermeno
29 Mar
La Virgen
1 : 2 Racing Lermeno
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 80:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Leonesa | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70:25 | 82 |
| 3 | Arandina | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 66:22 | 82 |
| 4 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 80:38 | 75 |
| 5 | Valladolid Promesas | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 68:25 | 73 |
| 6 | La Granja | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:36 | 69 |
| 7 | Atletico Astorga | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 60:41 | 68 |
| 8 | Bembibre | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 55:43 | 59 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:51 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Avila | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47:46 | 55 |
| 11 | Numancia B | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 51:56 | 53 |
| 12 | Palencia CA | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:47 | 43 |
| 13 | Almazan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Unami CP | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 39:67 | 38 |
| 15 | UD Salamanca (Inactive) B | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 27:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing Lermeno | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 35:64 | 34 |
| 17 | Santa Marta Tormes | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 25:50 | 32 |
| 18 | Palencia CF | 38 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 32:67 | 32 |
| 19 | Villaralbo | 38 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 24:65 | 32 |
| 20 | Cuellar Balompie | 38 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 20:87 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
