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Atletico Astorga vs Villaralbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Barajas I.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Astorga in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico Astorga
20%
Draws
50%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Astorga lately — more wins on the board than Villaralbo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 15%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Villaralbo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Villaralbo
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Atletico Astorga
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Villaralbo
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Villaralbo
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Atletico Astorga
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Barajas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Villaralbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 31 / 100
Villaralbo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Villaralbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Atletico Astorga stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Villaralbo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
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Villaralbo

(Away)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
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