Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Don León Kolbowski

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Atlanta play Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Atlanta averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Deportivo Maipu averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Atlanta won 2, Deportivo Maipu won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Atletico Atlanta and 1.06 for Deportivo Maipu. This points to a Atletico Atlanta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Atletico Atlanta

15%

Draws

40%

Deportivo Maipu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Atlanta picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Maipu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 22%

Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Atlanta	Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.07	1.18
Goals Conceded	0.93	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

0:3

Jun 1, 2025 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Atlanta

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jul 18, 2023 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Mar 12, 2023 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Atlanta

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bisanz F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Galeano L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobetto J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Atlanta 45 / 100

Deportivo Maipu 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Atlanta Deportivo Maipu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Atlanta or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Atlanta attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Maipu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Atlanta scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo Maipu let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atletico Atlanta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Maipu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 39

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	19	11	4	4	22:14	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27:17	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
4	Ciudad Bolivar	19	7	9	3	18:13	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	16:7	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	14:12	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	25:20	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	15:16	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	17:20	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	15:18	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	12:19	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	19	3	9	7	19:24	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	14:25	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	19	7	9	3	16:11	30
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
6	Atl. Rafaela	19	7	6	6	14:13	27
7	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
8	Deportivo Maipu	19	7	4	8	24:20	25
9	Nueva Chicago	18	6	7	5	17:16	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18