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Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Don León Kolbowski, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mercado Carrizo D. A.
46'
Sub
Dramisino A. In: Rivero B.
Out: Dramisino A.
46'
Sub
Funez N. In: Acosta G.
Out: Funez N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Atletico Atlanta and San Martin S.J. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Atletico Atlanta
20%
Draws
19%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico Atlanta are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Atlanta San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.
0:1
Apr 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Atletico Atlanta
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Atletico Atlanta
0:1
Apr 11, 2020 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Osores M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Atlanta 86 / 100
San Martin S.J. 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Atlanta San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Atlanta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Atlanta's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Martin S.J. conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Atlanta VS San Martin S.J.
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Atlanta

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)