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Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Royero R.
90'
Escobar F.
90'
Escobar F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Atletico Balboa and Fuerte San Francisco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Balboa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Balboa
30%
Draws
19%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Balboa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Balboa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Balboa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 68%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Balboa Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Balboa Compare

Top Goalscorer Royero R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Balboa 95 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Balboa Fuerte San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Balboa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Atletico Balboa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Balboa scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Balboa VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Balboa

(Home)
12 Nov
Atletico Balboa
4 : 1
Inca Aruba
08 Nov
Municipal Limeno
3 : 4
Atletico Balboa
01 Nov
Atletico Balboa
1 : 0
Alianza FC
25 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 2
Atletico Balboa
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

Fuerte San Francisco

(Away)
11 Nov
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0
Alianza FC
09 Nov
FAS
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
05 Nov
Municipal Limeno
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Nov
Fuerte San Francisco
3 : 4
Aguila
25 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 2
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 7 2 35:15 40
2 Metapan 20 10 5 5 27:21 35
3 FAS 20 9 7 4 33:23 34
4 Aguila 20 8 7 5 37:28 31
5 Inter Santa Tecla 20 6 10 4 27:20 28
6 Platense Municipal 20 7 6 7 26:24 27
7 Alianza FC 20 6 8 6 26:27 26
8 Municipal Limeno 21 6 6 9 32:33 24
9 Atletico Balboa 20 6 5 9 25:32 23
10 Cacahuatique 20 4 8 8 22:30 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 21 3 8 10 21:36 17
12 Inca Aruba 20 4 5 11 15:37 17
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)