Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Barinas vs Lara

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gonzalez K.

AI Match Summary

Lara in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Atletico Barinas
15%
Draws
61%
Lara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lara have won more games recently than Atletico Barinas.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lara here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 13%
Lara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Barinas Lara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.89 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Lara
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico Barinas
4:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Lara
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico Barinas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Barinas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Barinas 31 / 100
Lara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Barinas Lara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Lara has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Atletico Barinas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Barinas VS Lara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Barinas

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
09 Sept
Atletico Barinas
5 : 2
Atletico El Vigia
06 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
02 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
26 Aug
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 0
Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 6

Lara

(Away)
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1
Lara
02 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Barquisimeto
29 Aug
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Lara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 26 13 8 5 45:27 47
3 Urena 27 12 9 6 41:31 45
4 Zamora 2 26 10 7 9 40:35 37
5 Yaracuyanos 26 10 7 9 31:27 37
6 Atletico El Vigia 27 9 6 12 31:44 33
7 Atletico Barinas 27 9 4 14 48:57 31
8 Academia Puerto Cabello B 27 8 6 13 35:39 30
9 Real Frontera 27 3 3 21 22:59 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 22 12 6 4 37:23 42
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Bolivar 23 11 4 8 28:26 37
4 Aragua 23 9 9 5 25:17 36
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 22 6 8 8 23:24 26
6 Mineros 23 4 9 10 25:29 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 22 2 10 10 12:28 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)