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Atletico Bermejo vs Ciclon

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Bermejo in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Bermejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Bermejo
6%
Draws
4%
Ciclon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Bermejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Bermejo have won more games recently than Ciclon.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Bermejo taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 20%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Bermejo Ciclon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
1:1
May 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ciclon
2:0
Oct 15, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
0:2
Sep 3, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ciclon
2:0
Dec 11, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Atletico Bermejo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Bermejo 85 / 100
Ciclon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Bermejo Ciclon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Bermejo found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Ciclon conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico Bermejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Bermejo VS Ciclon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Bermejo

(Home)
12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 7

Ciclon

(Away)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario Beni 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 San Lorenzo del Beni 6 2 3 1 6:8 9
3 Alianza Beni 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
4 Los Almendros 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fancesa 8 5 3 0 19:4 18
2 Nacional Sucre 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Atletico Sucre 8 3 2 3 17:15 11
5 Independiente Recreo 8 0 0 8 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 5 2 1 17:5 17
2 Pasion Celeste 8 3 4 1 12:7 13
3 Real Mizque 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
4 Enrique Happ 8 2 4 2 12:7 10
5 Israel University 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 8 5 3 0 24:7 18
2 Academia del Balompie 8 3 3 2 24:9 12
3 Hiska Nacional 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
4 Chaco Petrolero 8 3 3 2 15:14 12
5 Huayna Potosi Palcoco 8 0 0 8 7:42 -2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 8 6 2 0 23:7 20
2 Sur-Car 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
3 Real Oruro 8 3 3 2 20:9 12
4 Em Huanuni 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
5 CM Poopo 8 1 0 7 4:36 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Pando 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Real Mapajo 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Stormers SL 6 3 2 1 10:2 11
3 Rosario Central 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Huracan Tupiza 6 0 1 5 0:19 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Torre Fuerte 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
3 24 de Septiembre 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
4 River 66 8 1 2 5 9:22 5
5 Universidad Crucena 8 1 2 5 6:20 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
2 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 Atletico Bermejo 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 Ciclon 8 1 4 3 4:8 7
5 Garcia Agreda 8 0 4 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams