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Atletico Capixaba W vs MDE W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women 2025
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AI Match Summary

MDE W in this Capixaba Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored MDE W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Capixaba W
30%
Draws
41%
MDE W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MDE W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • MDE W have won more games recently than Atletico Capixaba W.
  • Model gives MDE W a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico Capixaba W Clean Sheet 10%
MDE W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Capixaba W MDE W
Matches Played 20 15
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.47
Goals Conceded 3.45 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Capixaba Women
Atletico Capixaba W vs MDE W
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Capixaba Women
Atletico Capixaba W vs MDE W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Capixaba W 18 / 100
MDE W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Capixaba W MDE W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDE W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MDE W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Atletico Capixaba W's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Capixaba W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Capixaba W VS MDE W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Capixaba W

(Home)
06 Oct
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 11
Prosperidade W
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
30 Aug
Atletico Capixaba W
2 : 2
Estadual W
Page 1 of 4

MDE W

(Away)
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Vilavelhense W
1 : 4
MDE W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
29 Aug
Prosperidade W
10 : 0
MDE W
23 Aug
MDE W
3 : 0
Harpia W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estadual W 7 7 0 0 30:5 21
2 Prosperidade W 7 6 0 1 42:6 18
3 MDE W 7 5 0 2 23:18 15
4 Serra W 7 4 0 3 9:19 12
5 Harpia W 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
6 Vila Nova ES W 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
7 EC Sao Geraldo W 7 1 0 6 10:33 3
8 Atletico Capixaba W 7 0 1 6 7:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2025 (Play Offs)