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Atletico Cearense U20 vs Ceara U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kaique Rodrigues
43' Event
Daniel Mazerochi
80' Event
Fernando Gabriel

AI Match Summary

Ceara U20 in this Cearense U20 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Atletico Cearense U20
20%
Draws
61%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense U20 haven't matched Ceara U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ceara U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ceara U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ceara U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 26
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.97 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Ceara U20
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Ceara U20
0:3
Jul 20, 2024 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
5:2
Jul 11, 2024 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Ceara U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique Rodrigues
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Mazerochi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense U20 26 / 100
Ceara U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Cearense U20's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceara U20 let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Cearense U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense U20 VS Ceara U20
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
20 Jun
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
22 May
Atletico Cearense U20
0 : 0
Tirol U20
09 May
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceara U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0
Ferroviario U20
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tirol U20 2
Icasa U20 0
Ferroviario U20 1
Sao Gerardo U20 0
Acopiara U20 1
Atletico Cearense U20 2
Ceara U20 7
Pacatuba U20 0
Juventus CE U20 3
Itapipoca U20 0
Floresta EC U20 4
Caucaia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 2
Iguatu U20 0
Horizonte U20 4
Santa Cruz CE U20 0
Quarter-finals
Tirol U20 1
Ferroviario U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 0
Ceara U20 3
Juventus CE U20 2
Floresta EC U20 1
Fortaleza U20 3
Horizonte U20 2
Semi-finals
Ferroviario U20 2
Ceara U20 8
Juventus CE U20 1
Fortaleza U20 7
Final
Ceara U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4