Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Cearense U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hwaskar

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Cearense U20
20%
Draws
40%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Fortaleza U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwaskar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense U20 35 / 100
Fortaleza U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense U20's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fortaleza U20 conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Fortaleza U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense U20 VS Fortaleza U20
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
20 Jun
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
22 May
Atletico Cearense U20
0 : 0
Tirol U20
09 May
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza U20

(Away)
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6