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Atletico Cearense U20 vs Fortaleza U20

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Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hwaskar

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Cearense U20
44%
Draws
20%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Atletico Cearense U20's 0.6.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwaskar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense U20 36 / 100
Fortaleza U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense U20 Fortaleza U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fortaleza U20 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico Cearense U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense U20 VS Fortaleza U20
0.6 Goals Scored 1.75
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
40% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U203
Caucaia U202
Floresta EC U204
Ferroviario U205
Fortaleza U202
Atletico Cearense U201
Quixada U204
Tirol U203
Semi-finals
Ceara U201
Ferroviario U203
Fortaleza U207
Quixada U201
Final
Ferroviario U201
Fortaleza U206