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Atletico Cearense vs Caucaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Cearense
15%
Draws
49%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caucaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Caucaia have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Cearense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Caucaia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Caucaia
1:1
Mar 17, 2025 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Caucaia
0:4
Feb 15, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Caucaia vs Atletico Cearense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 50 / 100
Caucaia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Cearense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Caucaia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico Cearense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Caucaia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense

(Home)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 7

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)