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Atletico Cearense vs Guarany SC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gleryston
23' Event
Molano J.
26' Event
Gleryston

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico Cearense
28%
Draws
50%
Guarany SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guarany SC have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Guarany SC taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 15%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Guarany SC
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 4 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Atletico Cearense
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Guarany SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense Compare

Top Goalscorer Molano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleryston
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 23 / 100
Guarany SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Guarany SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Atletico Cearense's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Cearense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Guarany SC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense

(Home)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Guarany SC

(Away)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)