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Atletico Central vs AD Cartaya

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Atletico Central Logo

Atletico Central

2 - 0
FT
AD Cartaya Logo

AD Cartaya

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Haro P.
90' Event
Lopez V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Central in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atletico Central
15%
Draws
28%
AD Cartaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Central have won more games recently than AD Cartaya.
  • Model gives Atletico Central a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 68%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central AD Cartaya
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Central vs AD Cartaya
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Atletico Central
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Haro P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

AD Cartaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 95 / 100
AD Cartaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central AD Cartaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Central found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: AD Cartaya conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: AD Cartaya registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Linares
27 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Sevilla B
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Tenerife B
3 : 1
Atletico Central
06 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 8

AD Cartaya

(Away)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)