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Atletico Central vs Aracaju FC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Central in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Central
6%
Draws
4%
Aracaju FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aracaju FC haven't matched Atletico Central's recent run of results.
  • Atletico Central are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 13%
Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central Aracaju FC
Matches Played 24 14
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs Aracaju FC
4:2
Sep 5, 2024 Sergipano 2
Aracaju FC vs Atletico Central
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 84 / 100
Aracaju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central Aracaju FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico Central's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Aracaju FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Aracaju FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS Aracaju FC
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301