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Atletico Central vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Atletico Central and CS Maruinense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Central
20%
Draws
51%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Central come out ahead of CS Maruinense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CS Maruinense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 14%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central CS Maruinense
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.29 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Sergipano 2
CS Maruinense vs Atletico Central
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs CS Maruinense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 19 / 100
CS Maruinense 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Maruinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Maruinense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Central scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Atletico Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS CS Maruinense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Central
0 : 4
Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0
Atletico Central
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)