Sport Picks

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Atletico Central vs Socorro

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Fri, Sep 20, 2024
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Central host Socorro in the Sergipano 2 2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Atletico Central at 1.29 goals for, 1.54 against; Socorro at 1.44 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, Atletico Central have won 2 to Socorro's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.88 - 2.38) back Atletico Central to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Central
30%
Draws
47%
Socorro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Central have won more games recently than Socorro.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Socorro taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 10%
Socorro Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central Socorro
Matches Played 24 18
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2024 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs Socorro
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorro vs Atletico Central
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 10 / 100
Socorro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central Socorro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Socorro conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atletico Central's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS Socorro
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Central
0 : 4
Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0
Atletico Central
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

Socorro

(Away)
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)