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Atletico Colina vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Chilean Cup 2023
Sun, Apr 9, 2023
1 - 2
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Arrano B.
90' Event
Zampedri F.
90'
Correa F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with U. Catolica advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atletico Colina
20%
Draws
47%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atletico Colina Clean Sheet 20%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Colina U. Catolica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2023 Copa Chile
Atletico Colina vs U. Catolica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Colina Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrano B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampedri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Colina 32 / 100
U. Catolica 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Colina U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Colina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

U. Catolica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atletico Colina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Colina VS U. Catolica
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
29% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Colina

(Home)
04 Oct
General Velasquez
2 : 3
Atletico Colina
27 Sept
Atletico Colina
1 : 0
Real San Joaquin
07 Sept
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 0
Atletico Colina
29 Aug
Atletico Colina
0 : 0
Lota Schwager
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Trasandino de Socoroma 0
San Marcos de Arica 5
Union Iquique 0
Deportes Iquique 5
Electricos Refinerias 1
Antofagasta 6
Ojanco 0
Cobreloa 5
Quintero Unido 1
Coquimbo 4
Union Companias 1
La Serena 3
Union Bellavista 1
Cobresal 5
Provincial Ovalle 1
Copiapo 2
Atletico Colina 1
U. Catolica 2
Real San Joaquin 0
S. Wanderers 3
Poblacion los Nogales 1
Everton 7
San Felipe 2
San Luis 1
Santiago City 0
Colo Colo 2
Trasandino 1
Union La Calera 2
Limache 1
Palestino 3
San Antonio Unido 0
S. Morning 1
Iberia 0
U. De Concepcion 2
Arturo Fernandez Vial 2
D. Concepcion 1
Comunal Cabrero 3
Nublense 0
Linares Unido 1
Rangers 2
Teniente Merino 1
Huachipato 3
Gol y Gol 0
Deportes Temuco 2
Bories 0
D. Puerto Montt 3
Valdivia 2
Osorno 3
Chimbarongo FC 0
U. De Chile 10
General Velasquez 1
O Higgins 2
Recoleta 2
A. Italiano 3
Deportes Rengo 1
Curico Unido 0
Colchagua CD 1
U. Espanola 6
Lautaro 1
Barnechea 2
Ferroviario Comercial 0
Magallanes 6
Melipilla 0
Deportes Santa Cruz 1
1/16-finals
San Marcos de Arica 4
Deportes Iquique 0
Antofagasta 0
Cobreloa 2
Coquimbo 2
La Serena 1
Cobresal 3
Copiapo 0
U. Catolica 2
S. Wanderers 0
Everton 5
San Felipe 1
Colo Colo 6
Union La Calera 1
Palestino 5
S. Morning 4
U. De Concepcion 1
Arturo Fernandez Vial 0
Comunal Cabrero 0
Rangers 1
Huachipato 2
Deportes Temuco 3
D. Puerto Montt 1
Osorno 0
U. De Chile 0
O Higgins 1
A. Italiano 2
Deportes Rengo 1
U. Espanola 2
Barnechea 0
Magallanes 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 0
1/8-finals
San Marcos de Arica 0
Cobreloa 1
Coquimbo 0
Cobresal 2
U. Catolica 1
Everton 0
Colo Colo 1
Palestino 0
U. De Concepcion 2
Rangers 0
Deportes Temuco 3
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 2
A. Italiano 0
U. Espanola 1
Magallanes 2
Quarter-finals
Cobreloa 7
Cobresal 3
U. Catolica 0
Colo Colo 1
U. De Concepcion 4
Deportes Temuco 2
O Higgins 4
Magallanes 5
Semi-finals
Cobreloa 2
Colo Colo 3
U. De Concepcion 3
Magallanes 4
Final
Colo Colo 3
Magallanes 1