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Atletico CP vs 1º Dezembro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Nicolas Souza
27'
Garcia O.
29'
Freitas J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Atletico CP and 1º Dezembro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1º Dezembro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Atletico CP
20%
Draws
24%
1º Dezembro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • 1º Dezembro haven't matched Atletico CP's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Atletico CP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP 1º Dezembro
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.42 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs 1º Dezembro
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Atletico CP
1:5
Dec 20, 2025 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Atletico CP
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs 1º Dezembro
4:0
May 17, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs 1º Dezembro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico CP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

1º Dezembro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100
1º Dezembro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP 1º Dezembro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º Dezembro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Atletico CP found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico CP has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS 1º Dezembro
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
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1º Dezembro

(Away)
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
Caldas SC
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