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Atletico CP vs Caldas SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico CP host Caldas SC in the Liga 3. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Caldas SC have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Atletico CP have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Atletico CP have won 4 to Caldas SC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.63 - 0.94) back Atletico CP to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Atletico CP
15%
Draws
31%
Caldas SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico CP lately — more wins on the board than Caldas SC.
  • Win probability leans Atletico CP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico CP here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 20%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Caldas SC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Caldas SC
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Atletico CP
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Atletico CP
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Caldas SC
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Atletico CP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 85 / 100
Caldas SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Caldas SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico CP's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caldas SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Atletico CP remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Caldas SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
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Caldas SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 AD Marco 09 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
4 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
5 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Leca 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Lusitano GC 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Santarem 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)