Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Atletico CP

4 - 1

Lagoa

Our Tip

Match Events

Nicolas Souza

42'

Nicolas Souza

55'

Nicolas Souza

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Atletico CP

20%

Draws

24%

Lagoa

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Lagoa haven't matched Atletico CP's recent run of results.
56% — that's where the model lands on Atletico CP taking it.
Atletico CP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Atletico CP, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Atletico CP have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%

Lagoa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico CP	Lagoa
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	16	13
Draws	4	8
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.47	1.58
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Atletico CP vs Lagoa

4:1

Apr 23, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul

Atletico CP vs Lagoa

3:0

Jan 9, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul

Lagoa vs Atletico CP

1:1

Aug 30, 2009 Taça de Portugal

Lagoa vs Atletico CP

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Souza

3 Goals

Assists Leader Santana C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100

Lagoa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico CP Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico CP scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Lagoa let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico CP remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Lagoa

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)

19 Sept

Atletico CP

4 : 1

Lagoa

13 Sept

CF Os Belenenses

1 : 0

Atletico CP

06 Sept

Atletico CP

3 : 1

Oliveirense

29 Aug

Montijo

0 : 4

Atletico CP

22 Aug

Covilha

0 : 3

Atletico CP

Page 1 of 7

Lagoa

(Away)

19 Sept

Atletico CP

4 : 1

Lagoa

13 Sept

Lagoa

0 : 0

Serpa

06 Sept

Santa Clara B

1 : 2

Lagoa

23 Aug

Imortal

1 : 0

Lagoa

16 Aug

Aljustrelense

1 : 1

Lagoa

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Atletico CP vs Lagoa

Portugal

Atletico CP

Lagoa

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Atletico CP Compare

Lagoa Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

Lagoa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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