Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico de Lugones vs Candas CF Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Atletico de Lugones and Candas CF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Candas CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico de Lugones
20%
Draws
58%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico de Lugones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Candas CF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 20%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Candas CF
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.76 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Atletico de Lugones
1:1
Oct 30, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Candas CF
0:2
Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Candas CF
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Atletico de Lugones
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
Candas CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candas CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candas CF let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Atletico de Lugones found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Atletico de Lugones went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Lugones VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 8

Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)