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Atletico de Lugones vs Condal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 game between Atletico de Lugones and Condal finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Atletico de Lugones
20%
Draws
63%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Condal come out ahead of Atletico de Lugones on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Condal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Condal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 20%
Condal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Condal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.53 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Atletico de Lugones
1:0
Oct 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Condal
1:3
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Condal
0:3
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Atletico de Lugones
2:0
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Atletico de Lugones
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
Condal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Condal conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico de Lugones's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico de Lugones stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Condal
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 6

Condal

(Away)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 38 28 8 2 112:18 92
2 Real Aviles 38 26 7 5 90:34 85
3 Langreo 38 25 9 4 78:26 84
4 Tuilla 38 26 6 6 61:35 84
5 Real Oviedo B 38 22 9 7 78:32 75
6 Marino De Luanco 38 22 9 7 61:36 75
7 Covadonga 38 19 6 13 69:50 63
8 Condal 38 17 11 10 65:50 62
9 Union Club Ceares 38 14 7 17 47:63 49
10 Llanes 38 12 12 14 53:44 48
11 CD Colunga 38 15 3 20 51:59 48
12 CD Mosconia 38 9 8 21 38:84 35
13 Llanera 38 9 8 21 38:61 35
14 Praviano 38 9 8 21 46:78 35
15 L Entregu CF 38 8 9 21 27:66 33
16 Club Siero 38 8 9 21 36:83 33
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 7 10 21 42:78 31
18 CD Tineo 38 6 13 19 42:71 31
19 Lenense 38 7 9 22 50:84 30
20 Basico Urraca 38 6 9 23 32:64 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)