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Atletico de Lugones vs Llanera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico de Lugones in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico de Lugones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico de Lugones
15%
Draws
49%
Llanera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llanera lately — more wins on the board than Atletico de Lugones.
  • Model gives Llanera a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 18%
Llanera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Llanera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.53 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Llanera
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Atletico de Lugones
2:4
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Llanera
2:1
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Atletico de Lugones
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
Llanera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Llanera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Llanera has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico de Lugones scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Llanera has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llanera
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 6

Llanera

(Away)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 38 28 8 2 112:18 92
2 Real Aviles 38 26 7 5 90:34 85
3 Langreo 38 25 9 4 78:26 84
4 Tuilla 38 26 6 6 61:35 84
5 Real Oviedo B 38 22 9 7 78:32 75
6 Marino De Luanco 38 22 9 7 61:36 75
7 Covadonga 38 19 6 13 69:50 63
8 Condal 38 17 11 10 65:50 62
9 Union Club Ceares 38 14 7 17 47:63 49
10 Llanes 38 12 12 14 53:44 48
11 CD Colunga 38 15 3 20 51:59 48
12 CD Mosconia 38 9 8 21 38:84 35
13 Llanera 38 9 8 21 38:61 35
14 Praviano 38 9 8 21 46:78 35
15 L Entregu CF 38 8 9 21 27:66 33
16 Club Siero 38 8 9 21 36:83 33
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 7 10 21 42:78 31
18 CD Tineo 38 6 13 19 42:71 31
19 Lenense 38 7 9 22 50:84 30
20 Basico Urraca 38 6 9 23 32:64 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)