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Atletico de Lugones vs Real Aviles Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico de Lugones
20%
Draws
50%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Aviles have won more games recently than Atletico de Lugones.
  • Model gives Real Aviles a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Real Aviles
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.53 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles vs Atletico de Lugones
3:0
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Real Aviles
1:0
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Real Aviles
1:1
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles vs Atletico de Lugones
2:1
Mar 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Real Aviles
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
Real Aviles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Aviles conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico de Lugones found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico de Lugones has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Aviles
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 6

Real Aviles

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 38 28 8 2 112:18 92
2 Real Aviles 38 26 7 5 90:34 85
3 Langreo 38 25 9 4 78:26 84
4 Tuilla 38 26 6 6 61:35 84
5 Real Oviedo B 38 22 9 7 78:32 75
6 Marino De Luanco 38 22 9 7 61:36 75
7 Covadonga 38 19 6 13 69:50 63
8 Condal 38 17 11 10 65:50 62
9 Union Club Ceares 38 14 7 17 47:63 49
10 Llanes 38 12 12 14 53:44 48
11 CD Colunga 38 15 3 20 51:59 48
12 CD Mosconia 38 9 8 21 38:84 35
13 Llanera 38 9 8 21 38:61 35
14 Praviano 38 9 8 21 46:78 35
15 L Entregu CF 38 8 9 21 27:66 33
16 Club Siero 38 8 9 21 36:83 33
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 7 10 21 42:78 31
18 CD Tineo 38 6 13 19 42:71 31
19 Lenense 38 7 9 22 50:84 30
20 Basico Urraca 38 6 9 23 32:64 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)