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Atletico de Lugones vs Tuilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 game between Atletico de Lugones and Tuilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico de Lugones
15%
Draws
49%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tuilla a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 20%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Lugones Tuilla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.53 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Atletico de Lugones
5:1
Aug 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Tuilla
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Tuilla
0:1
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Atletico de Lugones
3:1
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Atletico de Lugones
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
Tuilla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Lugones Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tuilla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico de Lugones scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuilla
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Lugones

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6
Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1
Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2
Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0
Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 6

Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gijon B 38 28 8 2 112:18 92
2 Real Aviles 38 26 7 5 90:34 85
3 Langreo 38 25 9 4 78:26 84
4 Tuilla 38 26 6 6 61:35 84
5 Real Oviedo B 38 22 9 7 78:32 75
6 Marino De Luanco 38 22 9 7 61:36 75
7 Covadonga 38 19 6 13 69:50 63
8 Condal 38 17 11 10 65:50 62
9 Union Club Ceares 38 14 7 17 47:63 49
10 Llanes 38 12 12 14 53:44 48
11 CD Colunga 38 15 3 20 51:59 48
12 CD Mosconia 38 9 8 21 38:84 35
13 Llanera 38 9 8 21 38:61 35
14 Praviano 38 9 8 21 46:78 35
15 L Entregu CF 38 8 9 21 27:66 33
16 Club Siero 38 8 9 21 36:83 33
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 7 10 21 42:78 31
18 CD Tineo 38 6 13 19 42:71 31
19 Lenense 38 7 9 22 50:84 30
20 Basico Urraca 38 6 9 23 32:64 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)