Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico de Porcuna vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

86'
Capilla
86'
Capilla

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Porcuna and Churriana de la Vega finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atletico de Porcuna
20%
Draws
38%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Churriana de la Vega haven't matched Atletico de Porcuna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atletico de Porcuna's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Churriana de la Vega
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 41 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Churriana de la Vega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Porcuna scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Churriana de la Vega has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Solid form: Atletico de Porcuna remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Churriana de la Vega
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327