Sport Picks
Atletico de Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Montes D.
12'
12'
Romero A.
51'
51'
Garcia J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Atletico de Porcuna and Ciudad de Torredonjimeno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Porcuna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico de Porcuna carry the better recent record into this one.
- Atletico de Porcuna are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico de Porcuna | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Atletico de Porcuna
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Montes D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Romero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico de Porcuna 46 / 100
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico de Porcuna Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Atletico de Porcuna scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Atletico de Porcuna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico de Porcuna VS Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico de Porcuna
(Home) 10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
04 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
3 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
01 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 0 Mancha
22 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 2 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
(Away) 10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 0 Arenas Armilla
19 Apr
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 0 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0 CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 0 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
04 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
3 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
22 Mar
El Palo
3 : 0 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
08 Mar
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
