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Stadium Background

Atletico de Porcuna vs Melilla CD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melilla CD in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico de Porcuna
6%
Draws
4%
Melilla CD
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico de Porcuna have won more games recently than Melilla CD.
  • Win probability leans Atletico de Porcuna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Melilla CD
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:2
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Melilla CD
1:2
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Melilla CD
0:0
Dec 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 95 / 100
Melilla CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Melilla CD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Melilla CD has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico de Porcuna scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Melilla CD has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%