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Atletico de Porcuna vs Mijas Las Lagunas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Cordero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Porcuna and Mijas Las Lagunas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mijas Las Lagunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Atletico de Porcuna
17%
Draws
70%
Mijas Las Lagunas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mijas Las Lagunas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mijas Las Lagunas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mijas Las Lagunas here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Mijas Las Lagunas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Mijas Las Lagunas
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mijas Las Lagunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 15 / 100
Mijas Las Lagunas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Mijas Las Lagunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico de Porcuna scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Mijas Las Lagunas let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Atletico de Porcuna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Mijas Las Lagunas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Mijas Las Lagunas

(Away)
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4
Mijas Las Lagunas
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)