Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico El Vigia
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Barinas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico El Vigia come out ahead of Atletico Barinas on wins alone.
  • Atletico El Vigia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Atletico El Vigia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico El Vigia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
5:2
Sep 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
7:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 84 / 100
Atletico Barinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Atletico Barinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Atletico El Vigia scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Atletico El Vigia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Atletico Barinas
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico El Vigia

(Home)
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
09 Sept
Atletico Barinas
5 : 2
Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Barinas

(Away)
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
17 Sept
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico Barinas
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
09 Sept
Atletico Barinas
5 : 2
Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Atletico Barinas 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Atletico El Vigia 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
4 Real Frontera 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Yaracuyanos 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Aragua 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Barquisimeto 4 1 0 3 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Urena 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
3 Lara 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Trujillanos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Mineros 4 2 1 1 12:2 7
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
4 Bolivar 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams