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Atletico El Vigia vs Lara

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Parra Y.
Own Goal
64' Event
Brian S.
81' Event
Annese L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico El Vigia and Lara finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico El Vigia
39%
Draws
30%
Lara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lara come out ahead of Atletico El Vigia on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%
Lara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Lara
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:2
Aug 24, 2016 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
1:2
Aug 18, 2016 Copa Venezuela
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
1:1
Jan 12, 2014 Liga FUTVE
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Top Goalscorer Brian S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Annese L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 30 / 100
Lara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Lara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico El Vigia scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lara conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Atletico El Vigia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Lara
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lara1695224:1432
2Barquisimeto1694324:1331
3Urena1686224:1530
4Zamora 21666425:2124
5Yaracuyanos1673621:1824
6Academia Puerto Cabello B1662820:2020
7Atletico Barinas1662831:3220
8Real Frontera16321116:2911
9Atletico El Vigia16141112:357
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monagas B1483320:1327
2Deportivo Miranda1464410:822
3Bolivar1463514:1421
4Maritimo de Venezuela1455416:1320
5Dynamo Puerto FC1455416:1420
6Aragua1455412:1020
7Avila141948:1312
8Mineros140689:206