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Atletico El Vigia vs Urena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico El Vigia host Urena in the Liga FUTVE 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Urena have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Atletico El Vigia have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Atletico El Vigia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.44, favoring Urena. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atletico El Vigia
35%
Draws
20%
Urena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico El Vigia come out ahead of Urena on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico El Vigia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 16%
Urena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Urena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
0:1
May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 84 / 100
Urena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Urena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico El Vigia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico El Vigia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Urena let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Urena
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico El Vigia

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
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Urena

(Away)
07 Oct
Urena
2 : 2
Trujillanos
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
20 Sept
Urena
0 : 3
Zamora 2
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)