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Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 6-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Atletico El Vigia at 1.55 goals for, 1.72 against; Zamora at 1.32 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Zamora slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.31) point toward Atletico El Vigia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico El Vigia
30%
Draws
19%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico El Vigia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Atletico El Vigia taking it.
  • Atletico El Vigia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zamora, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zamora have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 18%
Zamora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico El Vigia Zamora
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
6:1
Feb 16, 2014 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
4:0
Sep 22, 2013 Liga FUTVE
Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora
0:2
Mar 13, 2013 Liga FUTVE
Atletico El Vigia vs Zamora
0:5
Oct 14, 2012 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Atletico El Vigia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico El Vigia 85 / 100
Zamora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico El Vigia Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Atletico El Vigia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico El Vigia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Zamora has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico El Vigia VS Zamora
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico El Vigia

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6

Zamora

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams