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Atletico Espeleno vs Ayamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Atletico Espeleno Logo

Atletico Espeleno

3 - 2
FT
Ayamonte Logo

Ayamonte

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Dylan Leeds N.
40' Event
Jurado R.
60' Event
Molina A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Atletico Espeleno and Ayamonte finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Espeleno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico Espeleno
20%
Draws
58%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Espeleno have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Ayamonte are scoring more at 0.9.
  • Ayamonte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Espeleno Clean Sheet 19%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Espeleno Ayamonte
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs Ayamonte
3:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Atletico Espeleno
1:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs Ayamonte
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Atletico Espeleno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Espeleno Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jurado R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Dylan Leeds N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chacon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Espeleno 10 / 100
Ayamonte 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Espeleno Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayamonte let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Atletico Espeleno's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Atletico Espeleno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Espeleno VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Espeleno

(Home)
11 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 2
Conil
04 May
CD Utrera
3 : 1
Atletico Espeleno
01 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
26 Apr
Bollullos
3 : 0
Atletico Espeleno
12 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 4
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)