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Atletico F.C. vs Millonarios

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Contreras R.
20' Event
Angulo J.
26' Event
Castro L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-8. This leg finished 1-8.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Atletico F.C.
20%
Draws
46%
Millonarios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millonarios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Millonarios lately — more wins on the board than Atletico F.C..
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Millonarios taking it.
  • Millonarios arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 16%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico F.C. Millonarios
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atletico F.C. vs Millonarios
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Saavedra S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castro L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico F.C. 19 / 100
Millonarios 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico F.C. Millonarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Atletico F.C. scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Millonarios let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico F.C. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico F.C. VS Millonarios
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico F.C.

(Home)
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Millonarios

(Away)
03 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Millonarios
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Millonarios
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)