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Atletico F.C. vs Millonarios

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Contreras R.
20' Event
Angulo J.
26' Event
Castro L.

AI Match Summary

Millonarios in this Copa Colombia matchup, with the score ending 1-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millonarios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico F.C.
6%
Draws
90%
Millonarios
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Millonarios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Millonarios lately — more wins on the board than Atletico F.C..
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Millonarios taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Colombia fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico F.C. Millonarios
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atletico F.C. vs Millonarios
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Saavedra S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castro L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico F.C. 10 / 100
Millonarios 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico F.C. Millonarios

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Atletico F.C. scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Millonarios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Atletico F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico F.C. VS Millonarios
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101