Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Gloriense vs Lagarto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Atletico Gloriense Logo

Atletico Gloriense

0 - 0
FT
Lagarto Logo

Lagarto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico Gloriense
30%
Draws
31%
Lagarto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Gloriense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lagarto have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — Atletico Gloriense are scoring more at 1.5.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Gloriense taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Gloriense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico Gloriense Clean Sheet 20%
Lagarto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Gloriense Lagarto
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Atletico Gloriense vs Lagarto
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs Lagarto
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Sergipano
Lagarto vs Atletico Gloriense
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 Sergipano
Lagarto vs Atletico Gloriense
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Sergipano
Atletico Gloriense vs Lagarto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Gloriense 58 / 100
Lagarto 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Gloriense Lagarto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Gloriense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Gloriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lagarto has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Atletico Gloriense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Gloriense VS Lagarto
1 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Gloriense

(Home)
18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1
Falcon
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
Page 1 of 6

Lagarto

(Away)
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Desportiva Aracaju 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lagarto 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Atletico Gloriense 5 1 3 1 6:3 6
5 Guarany SE 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
6 America de Propria 5 0 0 5 5:13 0
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)