Sport Picks
Atletico Granadilla vs Castillo CF
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Atletico Granadilla and Castillo CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Granadilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castillo CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castillo CF come out ahead of Atletico Granadilla on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Castillo CF's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Atletico Granadilla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 13%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Granadilla | Castillo CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.71 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Castillo CF
2:0
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Atletico Granadilla
1:4
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Castillo CF
2:1
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Atletico Granadilla
1:3
Feb 24, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Atletico Granadilla
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Granadilla 10 / 100
Castillo CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Granadilla Castillo CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Castillo CF let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Atletico Granadilla's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Atletico Granadilla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Granadilla VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Granadilla
(Home) 01 Aug
Las Zocas
5 : 0 Atletico Granadilla
15 May
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 4 Lanzarote
08 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0 Atletico Granadilla
29 Apr
Ibarra
2 : 0 Atletico Granadilla
23 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 0 CD Marino
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 4 Lanzarote
23 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 0 CD Marino
10 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 2 Tenerife B
23 Mar
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 6 Vera CD
13 Mar
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 1 Arucas
Page 1 of 3
Castillo CF
(Away) 09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
31 Mar
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1 Castillo CF
21 Mar
AD Huracan
2 : 1 Castillo CF
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 75:27 | 81 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:27 | 80 |
| 3 | Castillo CF | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 60:32 | 69 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 48:33 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Laguna | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 52:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Los Llanos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 57:43 | 56 |
| 7 | Galdar | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 9 | CD Marino | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45:51 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Realejos | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:45 | 52 |
| 11 | Orientacion Maritima | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:52 | 50 |
| 12 | Victoria CD | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 48:54 | 49 |
| 13 | Univ. Las Palmas B | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 40:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:49 | 46 |
| 15 | Las Zocas | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40:54 | 45 |
| 16 | Villa Santa Brigida B | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 42:52 | 42 |
| 17 | AD Huracan | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 42:64 | 40 |
| 18 | UD Tegueste | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 44:55 | 39 |
| 19 | Arguineguin | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41:67 | 35 |
| 20 | CD Teguise | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31:84 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
