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Atletico Granadilla vs UD Realejos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Granadilla play UD Realejos in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011. Atletico Granadilla are favorites here. Recently, Atletico Granadilla averaged 1.11 goals scored and 2 conceded. UD Realejos averaged 1 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Granadilla won 5, UD Realejos won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2014 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Atletico Granadilla and 1.81 for UD Realejos. This points to a Atletico Granadilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atletico Granadilla
15%
Draws
25%
UD Realejos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Granadilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Granadilla picked up more points recently compared to UD Realejos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 11%
UD Realejos Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Granadilla UD Realejos
Matches Played 45 36
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 1
Losses 22 27
Goals Scored 1.11 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs UD Realejos
6:1
Jan 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Realejos vs Atletico Granadilla
0:1
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs UD Realejos
3:0
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Realejos vs Atletico Granadilla
0:3
Mar 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs UD Realejos
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Granadilla 56 / 100
UD Realejos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Granadilla UD Realejos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Granadilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atletico Granadilla & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Granadilla attacking → ← attacking UD Realejos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Granadilla scored in 62% of their last 45 games.

UD Realejos let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Atletico Granadilla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UD Realejos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 25
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lanzarote402310765:3079
2Las Palmas B40239868:4378
3Tenerife B402191064:3472
4Atletico Granadilla401914748:2971
5Villa Santa Brigida4017121162:4763
6CD Marino4017111252:3862
7Corralejo4016141052:3962
8Pajara Playas401761754:5957
9SD Tenisca401761748:5857
10Tijarafe401681654:4856
11Vera CD4015111463:6056
12CD Laguna401561947:4851
13Mensajero401481862:6250
14AD Huracan4012131545:5949
15Teror4012131553:6049
16Las Zocas4012111742:5047
17Victoria CD401442236:5846
18Orientacion Maritima4010151545:5945
19San Isidro401282044:6944
20UD Guia401192037:4742
21UD Realejos40652940:8423