Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36

Atletico Grau

1 - 0

FC Cajamarca

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Alvarez P.

(Penalty)

37'

Tapia R.

42'

Neira C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Atletico Grau

33%

Draws

27%

FC Cajamarca

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Cajamarca lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Grau.
Model gives Atletico Grau a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%

FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Grau	FC Cajamarca
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	7	12
Draws	7	8
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Liga 1

Atletico Grau vs FC Cajamarca

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 50 / 100

FC Cajamarca 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Grau FC Cajamarca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Grau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Grau found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS FC Cajamarca

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	40
2	Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	33
4	Universitario de Deportes	17	8	5	4	24:15	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	26
8	Alianza Atl.	17	5	6	6	20:18	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	21
10	AD Tarma	17	5	5	7	22:21	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	19
13	Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	18
14	Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	16
18	Juan Pablo II	17	4	4	9	22:40	16