Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Grau vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Zapata Y.
62'
Sub
Ruidiaz R. In: Ruidiaz Y.
Out: Ruidiaz R.
62'
Sub
de la Cruz P. In: Vasquez A.
Out: de la Cruz P.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atletico Grau
15%
Draws
0%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Grau lately — more wins on the board than Moquegua.
  • Model gives Atletico Grau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Moquegua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Moquegua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Grau Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moquegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 95 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atletico Grau scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Moquegua has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS Moquegua
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)