Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Grau vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Zapata Y.
62'
Sub
Ruidiaz R. In: Ruidiaz Y.
Out: Ruidiaz R.
62'
Sub
de la Cruz P. In: Vasquez A.
Out: de la Cruz P.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atletico Grau
20%
Draws
38%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moquegua lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Grau.
  • Model gives Atletico Grau a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 20%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Moquegua
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Moquegua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Grau Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Moquegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 42 / 100
Moquegua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Atletico Grau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS Moquegua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0
Atletico Grau
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Cajamarca
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0
Moquegua
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
FBC Melgar
0 : 0
Moquegua
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)