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Atletico Grau vs Willy Serrato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau in this Segunda Division 2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atletico Grau
15%
Draws
0%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Willy Serrato haven't matched Atletico Grau's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico Grau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 20%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Willy Serrato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.31 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.19 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Atletico Grau
1:3
Jun 24, 2018 Liga 2
Atletico Grau vs Willy Serrato
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 85 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Willy Serrato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Willy Serrato conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Willy Serrato lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Grau's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 7

Willy Serrato

(Away)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesar Vallejo 28 19 5 4 55:19 62
2 Carlos Mannucci 28 16 7 5 66:30 55
3 Cienciano 28 17 4 7 63:30 55
4 Union Huaral 28 14 6 8 58:39 48
5 Hualgayoc 28 13 9 6 49:38 48
6 Juan Aurich 28 14 5 9 51:27 47
7 Alianza Atl. 28 14 5 9 48:37 47
8 Atletico Grau 28 12 6 10 58:42 42
9 Deportivo Coopsol 28 9 10 9 46:32 37
10 Los Chankas 28 11 4 13 38:36 37
11 Los Caimanes 28 7 6 15 38:57 27
12 Sport Victoria 28 6 7 15 34:54 25
13 Sport Loreto 28 6 6 16 38:68 24
14 Alfredo Salinas 28 5 6 17 25:66 21
15 Willy Serrato 28 2 4 22 23:115 10
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)