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Atletico Isleno vs Alcudia

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Atletico Isleno and Alcudia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Isleno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico Isleno
15%
Draws
42%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Isleno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alcudia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 20%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Isleno Alcudia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Atletico Isleno
2:0
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Alcudia
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Alcudia
2:1
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Atletico Isleno
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Isleno 20 / 100
Alcudia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Isleno Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Isleno scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Alcudia conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Alcudia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcudia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Isleno

(Home)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
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Alcudia

(Away)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)