Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 game between Atletico Isleno and UD Poblense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico Isleno
15%
Draws
42%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Isleno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • UD Poblense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Isleno UD Poblense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
0:0
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
1:1
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Isleno 36 / 100
UD Poblense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Isleno UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Isleno scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

UD Poblense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

UD Poblense has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Isleno

(Home)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

UD Poblense

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena Deportiva 38 26 6 6 69:30 84
2 UD Poblense 38 22 6 10 53:29 72
3 Formentera 38 19 11 8 62:28 68
4 Alcudia 38 19 9 10 48:28 66
5 Campos 38 17 14 7 37:23 65
6 Manacor 38 17 7 14 49:48 58
7 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 14 13 11 48:37 55
8 Llosetense 38 14 13 11 57:48 55
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 11 13 48:38 53
10 Collerense 38 13 12 13 38:41 51
11 Ferriolense 38 14 9 15 53:49 51
12 Mercadal 38 13 11 14 39:54 50
13 CD Montuiri 38 12 13 13 40:38 49
14 Santanyi 38 11 13 14 49:54 46
15 Felanitx 38 11 11 16 39:49 44
16 Atletico Isleno 38 10 13 15 39:45 43
17 Andratx 38 11 10 17 53:61 43
18 Espana 38 9 13 16 38:49 40
19 Soller 38 8 12 18 49:63 36
20 Son Ferrer 38 1 3 34 20:116 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)