Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Alacranes de Durango
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
AI Match Summary
Atletico La Paz host Alacranes de Durango in the Liga de Expansion MX. This one's hard to separate. Atletico La Paz have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Alacranes de Durango's 1.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Atletico La Paz slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Alacranes de Durango to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alacranes de Durango have won more games recently than Atletico La Paz.
- Model gives Alacranes de Durango a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico La Paz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Alacranes de Durango let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Atletico La Paz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home)Alacranes de Durango
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venados FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Alacranes de Durango | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 | Jaiba Brava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | Piratas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Cancun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
