Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
Match Events
16'
16'
Robles C.
Own Goal
17'
17'
Robles A.
Assist: Barragan M.
34'
34'
Barragan M.
AI Match Summary
Atletico La Paz in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico La Paz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atletico La Paz lately — more wins on the board than Correcaminos.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Atletico La Paz taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Atletico La Paz
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Atletico La Paz
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Robles A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Robles C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Correcaminos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico La Paz 85 / 100
Correcaminos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico La Paz Correcaminos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico La Paz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Correcaminos has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Atletico La Paz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz VS Correcaminos
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
22 Aug
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 Aug
Atletico La Paz
2 : 0 Piratas
Page 1 of 3
Correcaminos
(Away) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
