Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico La Paz vs Piratas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Zurita Jimenez U.
32' Event
Barragan M.
46'
Sub
Robles C. In: Larios I.
Out: Robles C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX game between Atletico La Paz and Piratas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico La Paz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico La Paz
20%
Draws
40%
Piratas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico La Paz come out ahead of Piratas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Piratas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico La Paz Piratas
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.69 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Piratas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico La Paz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurita Jimenez U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barragan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Piratas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico La Paz 31 / 100
Piratas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico La Paz Piratas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico La Paz scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Piratas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico La Paz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico La Paz VS Piratas
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico La Paz

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Venados FC
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3
Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6

Piratas

(Away)
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1
Venados FC
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Piratas
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
2 Club Atletico Morelia 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
3 Atletico La Paz 11 6 2 3 24:13 20
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Tapatio 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
13 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
14 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 11 3 1 7 8:22 10
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)