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Atletico La Paz vs Piratas

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico La Paz host Piratas in the Liga de Expansion MX. This has Piratas written all over it on paper. Piratas have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Atletico La Paz have conceded 1 and scored 1.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 0.63) point toward Piratas. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico La Paz
25%
Draws
35%
Piratas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Atletico La Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico La Paz come out ahead of Piratas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Piratas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Piratas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico La Paz Piratas
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 9 1
Draws 12 1
Losses 9 0
Goals Scored 1.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico La Paz 28 / 100
Piratas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico La Paz Piratas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico La Paz scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Piratas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 0% of 2 matches.

Atletico La Paz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico La Paz VS Piratas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico La Paz

(Home)
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
26 Jul
Club Atletico Morelia
4 : 2
Atletico La Paz
01 Jul
Juarez
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
26 Apr
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Jaiba Brava
23 Apr
Jaiba Brava
2 : 0
Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6

Piratas

(Away)
02 Aug
Piratas
1 : 0
Club Atletico Morelia
26 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0
Piratas

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Correcaminos 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Leones Negros 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Alacranes de Durango 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Zacatecas Mineros 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
5 Venados FC 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Dorados de Sinaloa 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Tapatio 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Piratas 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
9 Club Atletico Morelia 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
10 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Jaiba Brava 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Cancun 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Atletico La Paz 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Tlaxcala 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)