Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Venados FC
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
Match Events
17'
17'
Lora S.
21'
21'
Lora S.
Assist: Kilani P.
29'
29'
Hernandez D.
AI Match Summary
Venados FC in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venados FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico La Paz have won more games recently than Venados FC.
- Atletico La Paz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 15%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Venados FC
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Venados FC
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Atletico La Paz
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Atletico La Paz
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Venados FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico La Paz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Venados FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lora S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico La Paz 48 / 100
Venados FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico La Paz Venados FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico La Paz found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Venados FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Atletico La Paz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz VS Venados FC
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home) 25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
22 Aug
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 Aug
Atletico La Paz
2 : 0 Piratas
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
Venados FC
(Away) 26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 6 | Correcaminos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 7 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
